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33rd Film Independent Spirit Awards - My Predictions & Votes

Oh, hello! Ok, look. I know the Film Independent Spirit Awards are happening today, so I should've posted this article earlier, but I'm a busy man! If you didn't already know or have not read the top of this website anytime ever for some reason, this is an awards ceremony that I actually vote for! My opinion and voice counts here! I'll be going through every category in this article, sharing with you all who I voted for as well as who I think is going to win. I can't wait to hear today's opening monologue from John Mulaney and Nick Kroll. They killed it last year, and I'm sure they'll kill it again. So, without further adieu, here are my votes and predictions!

Best Feature

-Call Me by Your Name

-The Florida Project

-Get Out

-Lady Bird

-The Rider

What will win: Get Out

I voted for: The Florida Project

I like to joke that the Film Independent Spirit Awards are like the Academy Awards for younger, indie-loving, hipster, millennial film snobs like myself. Why is the voting base so young? Because we don't necessarily need credibility in order to vote. Voters just have to pay an annual membership fee in order to vote. Anyone, literally anyone, can become a voter. Now, this may also take away from the "credibility" of the awards, but that's a whole different debate. It's been made known that older members of the Academy apparently never watched Get Out and didn't give it a chance before submitting their Oscar ballots, but my generation did not miss Get Out in theaters. It blew our minds and is easily the most mainstream and millennial film being talked about here. That being said, The Florida Project was my favorite film of 2017, so I voted for it every time I got the chance.

Best Director

-Jordan Peele (Get Out)

-Jonas Carpignano (A Ciambra)

-Luca Guadagnino (Call Me by Your Name)

-Chloé Zhao (The Rider)

-Sean Baker (The Florida Project)

-Josh & Benny Safdie (Good Time)

Who will win: Jordan Peele

I voted for: Sean Baker

Want my thoughts and reasonings about this category? Read the above paragraph about Best Feature.

Best Actor

-James Franco (The Disaster Artist)

-Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)

-Harris Dickinson (Beach Rats)

-Timothée Chalamet (Call Me by Your Name)

-Robert Pattinson (Good Time)

Who will win: Timothée Chalamet

I voted for: Timothée Chalamet

At this point in the race, Chalamet is basically a lock here. At every other awards ceremony this year, Chalamet is considered to be the runner-up behind Gary Oldman in the Best Actor category, but Oldman is nowhere to be found here since Darkest Hour is not an indie film. Even when you look at Oscar voters, the younger voters are behind Chalamet and that's what you're going to see happen here at the Film Independent Spirit Awards.

Best Actress

-Salma Hayek (Beatriz at Dinner)

-Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)

-Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)

-Shinobu Terajima (Oh Lucy!)

-Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

-Regina Williams (Life and Nothing More)

Who will win: Frances McDormand

I voted for: Frances McDormand

Since Film Independent decided not to nominate Sally Hawkins or anything at all from The Shape of Water, this category is really a two-woman race between McDormand and Ronan. McDormand is miles and miles ahead in this race. While Lady Bird does do a better job of pandering to the younger crowd that votes for these awards, it's just impossible to pick against McDormand's powerhouse performance despite Three Billboards... not being in any of my best of 2017 lists.

Best Supporting Actor

-Benny Safdie (Good Time)

-Nnamdi Asomugha (Crown Heights)

-Armie Hammer (Call Me by Your Name)

-Barry Keoghan (The Killing of a Sacred Deer)

-Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Who will win: Sam Rockwell

I voted for: Barry Keoghan

It's a foregone conclusion that Rockwell is going to win this category today since some major players such as Willem Dafoe, Michael Stuhlbarg, Richard Jenkins, and Woody Harrelson were all left out in order to acknowledge some lesser-known indie films. That being said, I voted for Keoghan because his performance blew me away most out of these 5 performances. Keoghan was constantly switching from demented to charming, evil to innocent, and ended up being a surprisingly likable character despite really knowing that he was the villain all along.

Best Supporting Actress

-Lois Smith (Marjorie Prime)

-Taliah Lennice Webster (Good Time)

-Allison Janney (I, Tonya)

-Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)

-Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

Who will win: Laurie Metcalf

I voted for: Laurie Metcalf

Unlike every other awards ceremony this year, the Film Independent community is strongly behind Metcalf making her the frontrunner here, but it's not a foregone conclusion like the other acting categories for these awards. Janney is making some noise, and Metcalf is hearing those footsteps, but I think Metcalf has held onto her "lead" here long enough to earn the victory. Personally, I voted for her because I'm more attracted to and impacted by the more emotional and subtle performances than I am the bigger and flashier performances. I've been such an avidly vocal supporter of Metcalf since awards season began. It's nice to see Hunter get her well-deserved nomination here but, like Smith and Webster, she doesn't stand a chance.

Best Screenplay

-The Lovers

-Beatriz at Dinner

-Lady Bird

-Get Out

-Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

What will win: Get Out

I voted for: Get Out

Beatriz at Dinner and The Lovers do not stand a chance whatsoever; they'll just be happy to be there. This award, even at the Oscars, is such a tight race between Get Out and Lady Bird with Three Billboards... trying to sneak into the conversation and make some noise. Three Billboards... is a great film, but the screenplay was the film's weakest aspect in my opinion; I did not like that ending. Get Out earned my vote because it was, in my opinion, the smartest and most cleverly-written screenplay of 2017. Lady Bird has a really good screenplay and a really good shot at this award, but the fan base behind Get Out is just more vocal and supportive than Lady Bird's base.

Best First Feature

-Patti Cake$

-Ingrid Goes West

-Columbus

-Oh Lucy! -Menashe

What will win: Columbus

I voted for: Columbus

I won't bore you with the details here since nobody saw these movies and nobody cares about this category outside of those of us who voted, but know that Columbus is a darn good film and you can catch it on Hulu right now!

Best First Screenplay

-Women Who Kill

-Ingrid Goes West

-Columbus

-The Big Sick

-Donald Cried

What will win: The Big Sick

I voted for: The Big Sick

The Big Sick was one of the best films of 2017 and it's a shame it didn't get more love during awards season. It should've been nominated for Best Screenplay over some mediocre crap like The Lovers and Beatriz at Dinner, but I digress. This is the biggest lock of the night considering The Big Sick's screenplay is nominated for an Oscar; the Academy probably never heard of the other 4 nominees in this category.

Best Cinematography

-Call Me by Your Name

-Columbus

-Beach Rats

-The Killing of a Sacred Deer

-The Rider

What will win: Call Me by Your Name

I voted for: The Killing of a Sacred Deer

I'm certain that Call Me by Your Name is a lock to win this category. Every voter had the chance to see it in wide release and the same cannot be said about the other nominees. However, my vote went to The Killing of a Sacred Deer. It's not a film for everyone, and not many people have seen it, but the cinematography had my jaw on the floor from beginning to end. The wide shots, camera movements, color, and lighting all blew me away. Call Me by Your Name and Columbus also have stunning cinematography that are worthy of this award, but my vote had to go to The Killing of a Sacred Deer.

Best Editing

-Get Out

-I, Tonya

-Good Time

-Call Me by Your Name

-The Rider

What will win: Get Out

I voted for: Good Time

Like I've said a few times already, most voters for this ceremony are going to award Get Out as much as possible since it's the most mainstream and "millennial" film being represented at the ceremony. It is absolutely a great film with great editing, and I'll be happy if it wins and sweeps all night like it appears it will, but my vote went to Good Time. Find that film and watch it if you can because I was on the edge of my seat with my heart racing from beginning to end thanks to the way the film was shot, edited, and scored.

Best Documentary

-The Departure

-Faces Places

-Last Men in Aleppo

-Motherland

-Quest

What will win: Faces Places

I voted for: Faces Places

Best International Film

-BPM (France)

-A Fantastic Woman (Chile)

-I Am Not a Witch (UK)

-Lady Macbeth (UK)

-Loveless (Russia)

What will win: A Fantastic Woman

I voted for: A Fantastic Woman

There you have it. Those are my votes and predictions for today's Film Independent Spirit awards. I look forward to checking back tonight to see just how wrong or right my predictions were. I'm praying for some upsets so my favorites win instead of my predictions.

*Images do not belong to me.*

#awards #awardsseason #filmindependent #spiritawards #voting #predictions #getout #TheFloridaProject

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