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75th Annual Golden Globe Awards - Nomination Thoughts and Award Predictions

Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, the film awards season for 2017 is officially in full-swing! This is my Super Bowl season from now all the way up until the night of the Academy Awards. We've seen a lot of smaller film critics associations and societies hand out their awards over the past couple days and weeks, but this morning we all woke up to the reveal of the Golden Globes nominees! Now, I know and agree that the Globes have been a bit of a joke lately, and are absolutely nowhere near as prestigious as Guild or Academy Awards, but they are still a big deal as they are the second-most publicized awards every year. In this article I'm going to share with you my predictions, thoughts, surprises, and snubs from this morning's announcement. Let me preface these predictions by saying that as of now, December 11, 2017, a majority of the big name contenders (Call Me By Your Name, The Post, The Shape of Water, I, Tonya, Darkest Hour, The Greatest Showman, All the Money in the World, Phantom Thread, Molly's Game, etc.) haven't opened or played where I live yet, so it is possible that these predictions could change in the coming weeks. I'll edit this article if that happens.

UPDATE: This prediction article was updated and published at 3:19pm EST on January 7, 2018, over 4 hours before the awards ceremony began. I have seen all nominated films except for PHANTOM THREAD and 4 of the 5 Foreign Film nominees.

The full list of nominations can be found below:

Best Motion Picture (Drama)

Call Me by Your Name

Dunkirk

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

What will win: The Shape of Water

What I think should win: The Shape of Water

Best Motion Picture (Musical/Comedy)

The Disaster Artist

Get Out

The Greatest Showman

I, Tonya

Lady Bird

What will win: Lady Bird

What I think should win: Get Out

Best Motion Picture (Animated)

The Boss Baby

The Breadwinner

Coco

Ferdinand

Loving Vincent

What will win: Coco

What I think should win: Coco

Best Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)

Timothee Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name

Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread

Tom Hanks - The Post

Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour

Denzel Washington - Roman J Israel, Esq.

Who will win: Gary Oldman

Who I think should win: Timothee Chalamet

Best Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)

Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game

Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Meryl Streep - The Post

Michelle Williams - All the Money in the World

Who will win: Frances McDormand

Who I think should win: Sally Hawkins

Best Actor in a Motion Picture (Musical/Comedy)

Steve Carell - Battle of the Sexes

Ansel Elgort - Baby Driver

James Franco - The Disaster Artist

Hugh Jackman - The Greatest Showman

Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out

Who will win: James Franco

Who I think should win: Daniel Kaluuya

Best Actress in a Motion Picture (Musical/Comedy)

Judi Dench - Victoria & Abdul

Helen Mirren - The Leisure Seeker

Margot Robbie - I, Tonya

Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird

Emma Stone - Battle of the Sexes

Who will win: Saoirse Ronan

Who I think should win: Saoirse Ronan

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project

Armie Hammer - Call Me by Your Name

Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water

Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Who will win: Willem Dafoe

Who I think should win: Willem Dafoe

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Mary J Blige - Mudbound

Hong Chau - Downsizing

Allison Janney - I, Tonya

Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird

Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water

Who will win: Laurie Metcalf

Who I think should win: Laurie Metcalf

Best Director (Motion Picture)

Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water

Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk

Ridley Scott - All the Money in the World

Steven Spielberg - The Post

Who will win: Guillermo del Toro

Who I think should win: Guillermo del Toro

Best Screenplay (Motion Picture)

Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor - The Shape of Water

Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird

Liz Hannah, Josh Singer - The Post

Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Aaron Sorkin - Molly's Game

What will win: Lady Bird

What I think should win: Lady Bird

Best Original Score (Motion Picture)

Carter Burwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Alexandre Desplat - The Shape of Water

Jonny Greenwood - Phantom Thread

John Williams - The Post

Hans Zimmer - Dunkirk

Who will win: Hans Zimmer - Dunkirk

Who I think should win: Alexandre Desplat - The Shape of Water

Best Foreign Film

A Fantastic Woman

First They Killed My Father

In the Fade

Loveless

The Square

What will win: The Square

What I think should win: The Square (However, I haven't seen the other 4 yet).

Best Original Song (Motion Picture)

Home - Ferdinand

Mighty River - Mudbound

Remember Me - Coco

The Star - The Star

This Is Me - The Greatest Showman

What will win: Remember Me - Coco

What I think should win: Remember Me - Coco

Now, let's get into some shocks, snubs, complaints, etc. and I'll start by showing you this tweet I posted this morning.

This is why the Golden Globes are turning into a joke; The Razzies may be a more prestigious awards ceremony now and they award the WORST films of the year.

1. There are absolutely zero excuses as to why THE BIG SICK got zero nominations at The Golden Globes. It should've been nominated for Best Comedy/Musical Film, Best Comedy/Musical Actor, and Best Supporting Actress without a doubt. It should've also contended for a spot in the Best Screenplay category.

2. There is no way ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD should be nominated for anything unless they paid the voters all the money in the world. Haha...I try to be funny sometimes. Seriously though, have they even finished editing the movie yet? Who's already seen it besides film crew members? They just started reshooting the film a few weeks ago after pulling Kevin Spacey, so there's no way the film is ready to go now even though it's supposed to come out in about 2 weeks. There's something fishy there.

3. DOWNSIZING is a mediocre film that shouldn't be in talks for any awards whatsoever. I don't understand what critics like about that movie. I clearly missed something when I saw it at Fantastic Fest.

4. Denzel was good in ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. but the film itself was such a mess. Where's Jake Gyllenhaal's performance in STRONGER? How about Robert Pattinson's performance in GOOD TIME? I'd even take James McAvoy in SPLIT or Hugh Jackman in LOGAN over Denzel. That was such a legacy pick. Denzel is Meryl Streep-ing his way into award nominations now.

5. Get THE BOSS BABY and FERDINAND out of the Best Animated Feature category please. Where is THE LEGO BATMAN MOVIE? Where is YOUR NAME?

SNUBS

- Take out Michelle Williams (ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD) and replace her with Jennifer Lawrence (MOTHER!) or Nicole Kidman (THE BEGUILED) in the Best Actress Drama category.

- Take out THE GREATEST SHOWMAN and replace it with THE BIG SICK or BABY DRIVER in the Best Comedy/Musical category.

- Take out Helen Mirren (THE LEISURE SEEKER) and replace her with Zoe Kazan (THE BIG SICK) in the Best Actress Comedy/Musical category.

- It hurts me to say it, but take out Ansel Elgort (BABY DRIVER) or Steve Carell (BATTLE OF THE SEXES) and replace him with Kumail Nanjiani (THE BIG SICK) in the Best Actor Comedy/Musical category.

- For the love of all mankind, please take out Hong Chau (DOWNSIZING) and replace her with Holly Hunter (THE BIG SICK) in the Best Supporting Actress category.

- Take out Christopher Plummer (ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD) and replace him with Michael Stuhlbarg (CALL ME BY YOUR NAME) in the Best Supporting Actor category.

- In the category of Best Director, I'm going to change a lot. Take out Steven Spielberg (THE POST), Martin McDonagh (THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI), and Ridley Scott (ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD) and replace them with Luca Guadagnino (CALL ME BY YOUR NAME), Greta Gerwig (LADY BIRD), and Jordan Peele (GET OUT).

- Take out THE POST and MOLLY'S GAME and replace them with CALL ME BY YOUR NAME and GET OUT in the Best Screenplay category.

Alright, that'll do it for now. There is more I could get into, but this article is getting long enough already. Please hit me up on Twitter and I'll gladly talk even more about these nominations with you. Tune in to the Golden Globe Awards on the night of January 7, 2018!

#goldenglobes #awardsseason #awards #predictions

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